Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time

نویسندگان

  • Lars Peter Hansen
  • Thomas J. Sargent
چکیده

We use statistical detection theory in a continuous-time environment to provide a new perspective on calibrating a concern about robustness or an aversion to ambiguity. A decision maker repeatedly confronts uncertainty about state transition dynamics and a prior distribution over unobserved states or parameters. Two continuous-time formulations are counterparts of two discrete-time recursive specifications of [16]. One formulation shares features of the smooth ambiguity model of [24, 25]. Here our statistical detection calculations guide how to adjust contributions to entropy coming from hidden states as we take a continuous-time limit.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • J. Economic Theory

دوره 146  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011